Ealing has one of the worst records in London for diabetes and the number of sufferers will climb by 10,373 in the next 20 years, placing huge pressure on local health services, according to Public Health England.
There are currently 29,557 people with diabetes in the borough, up by 412 on last year. Some 10.7% of all the people living in Ealing have the condition, which is above the national rate of 8.6%. But forecasts by PHE, a government agency, show that by 2020 the rate will have gone up to 11.2% and in 2035 will hit 12.6%.
The agency based its predictions on health surveys carried out over three years and focused on people over the age of 16. PHE says that around 90% of the new cases will be Type 2 diabetes, which is caused by lifestyle factors and linked to obesity. It says these cases are preventable and tackling the problem is fundamental to the future of the health service.
The increased prevalence of the condition coincides with a rise in the population of the capital in the coming decades. There will be 895,489 diabetes sufferers across London’s 33 boroughs by 2035, and 4.5% of them will live in Ealing .
Diabetes is caused by the inability of the body to regulate the amount of sugar in the blood. It is associated with an increased risk of stroke and heart attack. Sufferers may also develop kidney disease and foot ulcers, which can lead to amputation.