Since April 2009 the GLA has been doing a quarterly survey of 1,000 Londoners. It asks about a range of issues and in each survey it also asks one consistent questions: “Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the job Boris Johnson is doing as Mayor of London?”
The latest survey was completed in the middle of March and shows that 48% of people said they were satisfied and 22% dissatisfied. This is a sharp decrease on the previous quarter. In January Boris’s satisfaction rating soared to it highest ever level of 66% when he was more in the news for his involvement in the EU Referendum debate than his role as Mayor. That’s even higher than the post Olympics glow of success when he scored 64%.
Boris was elected in May 2008 with 53% of the vote. His average satisfaction rating across the 29 quarterly surveys since April 2009 has been 55%. It has only dipped below 50% in two previous surveys, in April 2010 and in September last year.
Most politician would be happy with this consistent level of support and it underlines the job facing the candidates to replace him in matching his popular appeal.
The latest polling by YouGov says that Labour’s Sadiq Khan is leading the Conservative Zac Goldsmith by 32% to 25%. There are still many undecided voters but the hopefuls have some way to go to match Boris’s 53%.